Possible variants of events.
Pandemic COVID-19 has exacerbated an already difficult situation with inequality in relations within countries and between countries. At its completion the world will have only two scenarios for further development. This was stated by the UN Secretary-General, antónio Guterres, published on Monday, reports the Chronicle.info with reference to the Correspondent.
The material Guterres noted that even though to look to the future is impossible, he only sees two possible scenarios for the world after the pandemic: optimistic and pessimistic.
According to the Secretary General, the worst of these pathways involves a global depression, which will be accompanied by increasing segregation and xenophobia.
“If this scenario comes to fruition, we will see how to grow segregation, populism and xenophobia. Each country will act independently or in so-called coalitions of the willing to cooperate only on some specific tasks,” he said.
In this case, added Guterres, one may expect the onset of a global depression with a length of 5-7 years.
The optimistic scenario assumes a successful plan of universal restoration, and assistance to developing States.
Also, its implementation would have helped the emergence of effective and affordable vaccines against coronavirus in the next nine months.
“If that happens, and the economy will gradually recover, we will begin to move in the right direction, that in two or three years in some degree to return to normal,” — said Guterres.
According to Guterres, it is difficult to understand in what direction the world moves, but everything must be done for the first scenario, and to prepare for the second.
Earlier, the UN Secretary-General said that the crisis that caused the world pandemic COVID-19, is the most severe since the Second world war.